The scenario seemed almost too good to be true. Polar High shifting the the west, thus lifting our storm blocking pattern. Large Low pressure system feeding into gulf moisture and then riding up the suddenly very ampliphed jet stream. Storm stalling out right off Massachusettes coast, throwing heavy snow and wind into SNE for several hours. It was suppose to be our perfect storm. And now it won't happen.
Models are comming into agreement with each run. As is the case with most of these storms, two seperate storms turn into one big one, usually right around the NC coast. Not this time. Our second guy is late to the party. Add that to an offshore track and what we have is a dud. Two semi strong storms, tracking away from the coast and then getting stuck offshore and blossoming into a big storm.
What it likely means is a long period of light snow starting late Sunday night and lasting into early Tuesday. We call this a big tease.
Still time to change this forecast, and I hope it does change. But reasoning has to trump desire here. Look for all local weather guys and gals to have a tough time forecasting this one. One slight change to timing or path can GREATLY affect the outcome. None of them want to get caught in a situation like last year where everything shut down and nothing came. I have already seen more caution with all forecasts. It appears as if that caution will win out.
No comments:
Post a Comment