Saturday, January 22, 2011

Blockbuster Next Week?

We are still 4-5 days away from this potential storm, but with nothing else to do on a Saturday afternoon, why not speculate!!!

So lets take a look at the ingredients for what could be the biggest winter storm to date next week.

1.) Here is our current satellite image. Take a look at that piece of energy over the middle of the country right now. That is the beginnings of our monster. She is slowly moving across the country today and soon enough, she will transfer her energy to the gulf of mexico.

2.)
Very cold (and I mean very cold!) arctic high pressure system will settle in right over our heads this weekend driving record breaking cold air all the way into the deep south. This cold air will be stuck in place at the surface for several days.

3.)
By Tuesday morning, our little storm system has tapped into that extreme gulf moisture and is rapidly developing into a monster storm. From there, our new storm will track north eastward and run into the end of our record breaking cold air. Do I have to spell this out? Warm moist air from the Gulf running into Arctic cold air right over the ocean. That leads to....

4.) MONSTER STORM! Now of course, this is way too far away to predict snowfall totals or even total impact on the region. Actually, as of right now, a lot of models are bringing this storm too far inland, causing a snow to rain situation for us with a historic blizzard for inland areas like Albany, Pittsburgh and the Appalachians. That particular aspect of the storm won't be decided until several days from now.

What is quite likely is that we are going to be dealing with a very disruptive storm Wednesday afternoon into Thursday. The last image shows a 982 mb low sitting in Long Island Sound. That is a SUPER strong storm, comparable to a category 1 hurricane. It would be stronger than any storm we have seen this winter.

Again, no one has any idea what type of precipitation we will get. But the 2 things that are pretty much indisputable at the moment are that we will see some type of storm mid week and it is going to be VERY windy.

More to come later!

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