Sunday, February 14, 2010

Monday Night/ Tuesday Snow Event




I would not be too concerned about it at this point. The NWS is holding back any advisory's at this point as the system could be a bust, much like last weeks storm. The following is an excerpt from the Taunton 7pm forecast discussion...

"GIVEN THAT THIS WILL PRIMARILY BE A 4TH PERIOD EVENT...HAVE DECIDED
TO HOLD OFF ON A WATCH FOR NOW. COULD BE A FAIRLY DECENT BUST
POTENTIAL GIVEN INHERENT MARGINALLY COLD BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES
WITH WARMER AIR WRAPPING INTO THE LOW. ALSO THERE WILL BE NO SURFACE
HIGH TO THE NORTH AND THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE LAGGING BEHIND."

Lots of insider lingo in these updates but basically what they are saying is that this storm is going to track too close to our coastline and drag in warmer air to keep the precip type as a mix or rain for most of the daytime hours on Tuesday. You can also tell that they are still feeling the fallout from last weeks mishap so they need to mention this "bust" possibility up front.

My call? I think in the Boston area (inside 128) we will see maybe 1-2 inches of wet snow starting late Monday night into early Tuesday morning and then a gradual change to a drizzle during the morning on Tuesday. We should see a change back to snow by late afternoon but it will be mostly flurries. Pretty much all snow will be washed away in our area.

After Tuesday, we will be in a stretch of very seasonable weather with no storms to speak of and high temps starting to moderate with each passing week. Since I am watching the Daytona 500 I feel a NASCAR reference is in order. We appear to be on the backstretch of winter. I know Katrina is happy to hear it.

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